Market Psychology
The importance of the psychological (or emotional) aspect of investing
cannot be underestimated or ignored. The basis of much human error in the
field of investing derives from the human tendency to employ and rely upon
various rules of thumb… shortcuts (or biases) that humans use without even
being aware that we are doing so. We apply these as it is instinctive
within us to do so. These instincts are hard wired into the brains of
humans and are unknowingly employed to enable us to make the right
decisions based on the limited information available to us in many
situations. However, such shortcuts can lead us astray under certain
circumstances and the field of investing is one such area.
Many investors say things like "I can't sell XYZ because I bought the
stock at higher levels" and "I like the company so I bought it". This
highlights the emotional impact of investors on their decision-making
process. Investing should never be an emotional process, but rather it
should be a rational one. But unfortunately, we are emotional animals, so
discipline and awareness of our flaws is exceedingly important. Following
is a look at the specific shortcuts and biases, also known as cognitive
illusions (doesn't this term tell us how misleading our instincts can be),
that can lead us astray in the stock market.
Anchoring
The next decision-making error is a phenomenon known as anchoring, and this often clouds people's judgment when it comes to investment d...
Cognitive Dissonance
The next phenomenon is known as cognitive dissonance. The theory of cognitive dissonance states that when we hold two conflicting belief...
Framing
The concept of framing can best be explained via an example… assume you are in a shopping centre, standing outside both David Jones and ...
Herding
The next phenomenon is known as herding. Evolution has equipped humans with a tendency to herd, or stick with the majority. Presumably, ...
Hindsight Bias
The next phenomenon is known as hindsight bias. What is hindsight bias exactly? Quite simply, it is the tendency for us humans to view t...
Loss Aversion
The effects of framing can be explained by human beings' aversion to loss. There have actually been some studies which suggest that loss...
Representativeness
Representativeness is a human behaviour whereby in order to cope with the myriad information humans are bombarded with every day, we ten...





